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Why Shopify Stock Jumped on Friday


What happened

Shares of Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) climbed on Friday, surging as much as 6.3%. As of 2:07 p.m. ET today, the stock was still up 5%.

While a rebound in technology stocks certainly added fuel to its ascent, the e-commerce platform provider was also on the receiving end of positive commentary from not one, but two Wall Street analysts.

So what

SMBC Nikko analyst Andrew Bauch initiated coverage of Shopify, assigning an outperform (buy) rating, while simultaneously issuing a $1,200 price target. That represents potential gains for investors of more than 47% compared to Thursday’s closing price. 

A person on the couch keying credit card information into a laptop.

Image source: Getty Images.

At “the risk of sounding hyperbolic,” Bauch said that of all the stocks he covers, he views Shopify as the company most likely to “break the trillion-dollar market cap threshold in the long-term.”

He noted that of all the S&P 500 companies, Shopify was best positioned to benefit from a number of significant secular tailwinds. These include the growing adoption of e-commerce, the increasing integration of software and payments, the continuing rise of omnichannel retail, and the ongoing shift toward embedding finance systems in e-commerce platforms.

Additionally, Mizuho (NYSE: MFG) analyst Siti Panigrahi lowered his price target on Shopify shares from $1,400 to $900, while keeping a neutral (hold) rating on shares, according to The Fly.  

Momentum in the software-as-a-service (SaaS) space has stalled so far this year, fueled by fears related to rising interest rates, Panigrahi wrote in a research note. More importantly for Shopify shareholders, however, is that despite the “macro-driven sell-off,” there hasn’t been any deterioration in the company’s fundamentals.

Now what

These analysts are likely on to something. Shopify has been dragged down by the recent rout in technology stocks. Through yesterday’s market close, the stock had fallen nearly 52% since its November highs on no company-specific news. In fact, Shopify stock actually surged 15% higher in the wake of its third-quarter financial report in late October.

The selling appears to be overdone. Analysts’ consensus estimates are calling for 2021 full-year revenue of $4.6 billion, which would represent year-over-year growth of nearly 59%. Profits are also expected to shine, with earnings per share also growing by 59%.

This looks like a rare opportunity to get Shopify stock at a discount.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium advisory service. We’re motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer.





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